Oil prices stood at an average $99.1/bbl for 2022 (+39.7% or +$28.2/bbl compared to 2021). The market was under strain, and prices were sustained by shrinking supply and geopolitical tensions.
The embargos applied by the European Union, the United Kingdom and the United States because of the war in Ukraine kept prices high. All year long, oil prices fluctuated in response to geopolitical issues caused by the war, but also the risk of a worldwide recession and successive lockdowns in China to cope with the Covid-19 pandemic sweeping the country.
The annual gas contract price for next-year delivery at the French PEG hub reached an average of €82.8/MWh for 2022 (+178.5% or +€53.1/MWh compared to 2021). The energy crisis, already firmly established since October 2021, was accentuated in 2022 by the war in Ukraine. Successive reductions in gas supplies from Russia pushed prices up to record highs, culminating at €231.5/MWhg on 26 August 2022.
However, tensions abated after the European Union’s announcement of coordinated action on the gas and electricity markets in early September. With high European gas stocks over the whole of the final quarter, and a huge influx of LNG supplies to Europe, prices subsequently relaxed.
Natural gas and oil prices
This graph shows the natural gas and oil prices.
Brent price ($/bbl):
2021
January : approximately 56
April : approximately 65
July : approximately 77
October : approximately 79 (Change in gas year)
December : 70
2022
January : approximately 77
April : approximately 99
July : approximately 120
October : approximately 90 (Change in gas year)
December : approximately 88
Gas price (€/MWhg):
2021
January: approximately 12
April : approximately 20
July : approximately 35
October : approximately 55 (Change in gas year)
December : approximately 29
2022
January : approximately 80
April : approximately 65
July : approximately 32
October : approximately 120 (Change in gas year)
December : approximately 99
Electricity consumption in France was down by 21TWh (-4.5%) from 2021. Milder temperatures during the winter of 2021-2022 resulted in a 8TWh decrease in consumption for heating, but in the summer, high temperatures drove consumption up by more than 3TWh, mainly for air conditioning use. Greater customer awareness of energy sufficiency, and significant price rises, led some businesses to scale back their activity, and this also contributed to the general downturn in consumption. Reductions in consumption hit more than 10% in December.
Gas consumption in 2022 in France was 9.8% lower than in 2021 due to the milder weather and higher prices, which limited demand.
Electricity and gas consumption in the United Kingdom decreased by 6% and 15% respectively compared to 2021, mainly as a result of higher prices and milder weather.
Electricity consumption in Italy (1) in 2022 totalled 315.6TWh, a decrease of 0.8% compared to 2021. In the first half of the year, consumption rose due to the post-Covid business recovery and higher temperatures in May and June 2022, which pushed up demand for air conditioning. However, consumption then dropped back slightly in the second half of the year because of milder weather.
Demand for natural gas in Italy totalled 69bcm, down by 9.6% compared to 2021. Industrial consumption fell by 15.0% as a result of substantial price rises for raw materials and commodities, and residential consumption decreased by 11.4% due to milder weather and high prices.
(1) Source of data for Italy: unadjusted data and data provided by Terna, the Italian national grid operator, and adjusted by Edison.