These projects require, among other things, administrative authorisations, licences or permits which may be subject to disputes, withdrawals or delays in obtaining them.
A very large number of stakeholders are involved in these projects, which may, for example, need to be associated with territorial development projects or suffer from difficulties related to local acceptance.
Inflationary pressures could also lead to higher project costs (see in particular risk 4B “Operational continuity of supply chains and contractual relationships”).
The health crisis has affected the deployment of these major projects and could, if it were to worsen, lead to further delays or additional costs.
In addition, the health crisis may have weakened the financial strength of some partners.
Other issues and risks specific to nuclear activities, whether in terms of nuclear safety, control of operations and maintenance activities, long-term commitments or the fuel cycle, are specified in section 2.2.5 “Specific risks related to nuclear activities”.
c1) Cross-cutting control actions
c2) Control of committed EPR projects
In particular, meeting the timetable and cost objectives as announced(1) is still dependent on the following (see section 1.4.1.1.3.1 “Flamanville 3 EPR project”):
In addition to the activities still to be carried out before the fuel is loaded into the reactor vessel and the overall start-up tests are carried out, the project could also face other potentially significant additional costs and delays in the event of a new hazard. Schedule and cost to completion risks remain high.
In China, the Group has a 30% stake in TNPJVC (Taishan Nuclear Power Joint Venture Company Limited) alongside its Chinese partner CGN and Guangdong Energy Group (19%). Taishan 1 was the first EPR reactor to be coupled to the grid on 29 June 2018. It became commercially operational on 13 December 2018. The Taishan 2 reactor became commercially operational on 07 September 2019 (see section 1.4.1.1.3.2 “Other New Nuclear projects”).
The profitability of the asset is linked to the feed-in tariff for electricity produced by Taishan and could be affected if tariff decisions are not favourable. On 20 March 2019, a temporary tariff was set by the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) at RMB 435/MWh until the end of 2021, for a guaranteed annual volume of generation offtake equivalent to 7,500 hours of full power operation. Any surplus above this volume is sold at the market price. As with any scalable generation facility, the actual call-up of the Taishan plant is decided by the Guangdong provincial power grid operator. The temporary tariff was extended on 22 December 2021 until the publication of the new tariff mechanism applied to Chinese third-generation nuclear power plants, particularly the Taishan plant. The authorities had issued no further publication at the beginning of 2023. The profitability of the asset is also subject to the risk of changes in the volume of sales at this tariff, against a background of development in the electricity market.
The financing arrangements put in place by TNPJVC include provisions to secure the repayment of the joint venture’s financial liabilities. In certain situations, these provisions may temporarily limit the payment of dividends. If the company were to fail to generate a positive cumulative net result or a sufficient level of cash flow, the amount of dividends expected by EDF would be revised downwards which could result in the need for depreciation of the asset (2).
Control of the design and bringing the manufacturing and the major milestones of the Hinckley Point C (HPC) construction site under control will determine the profitability of the project and the financing of any future projects in the United Kingdom.
Construction passed a number of milestones in 2022 (see section 1.4.5.1.2.5 “Nuclear New Build business”). However the project was marked by:
There is a risk that these factors will continue to impact construction progress and the supply chain. Action plans are under way to catch up delays and improve civil engineering performance. Compliance with the schedule and cost to completion (see section 1.4.5.1.2.5 “Nuclear New Build business”) requires that these actions produce the expected results.
The IRR of the HPC project is sensitive to:
(1) See press release of 16 December 2022.
(2) The value of TNPJVC’s share of equity at the end of 2021 in EDF’s accounts is €210 million – see Note 12 to the consolidated financial statements for the fiscal year closed 31 December 2022.